Dashboard panels
Opening resultDecision overview
Opening deal · fixed bilateral outcome weights
Your priorities. A searched frontier.
Shared prosperity, stress-tested.
STATE-CONSISTENCY INDICATOR—
LEADING POLICY SIGNALLoading live baseline…
ECONOMIC REGIME—
NEUTRAL RATE—
POLICY GAP—
BEST-STRATEGY GDP—vs no-tariff world
CONSUMER PRESSURE—cost-of-living index
EXPORT EFFECT—terminal change
RECESSION RISK—any quarter, 700 paths
Live negotiation connectedAdjust either delegation’s sector position to publish a new whole-economy result.
Fiscal & tradeTariff revenue and bilateral ledger
Annualized fiscal and bilateral ledger
Tariff revenue and bilateral balance diagnostics
U.S. TARIFF REVENUE——
CANADA TARIFF REVENUE——
CANADA BALANCE—surplus (+) / deficit (−), CAD
U.S. BALANCE—mirror balance, USD
BILATERAL BALANCE DIAGNOSTIC—
——
Receipts equal the effective sector-weighted tariff multiplied by the post-elasticity import base. The bilateral balance is an accounting diagnostic only: the welfare objective does not reward movement toward zero, and the engine does not manufacture offsetting exports, imports, or redirection flows to hit a target.
Policy menuCompare bilateral strategies
Searching policy combinations…Each result balances the Bank of Canada mandate, Canadian households and public finances, and U.S. trade-price outcomes. The weakest party receives extra weight.
Ranked strategic response menu
Compare bilateral strategies
Select a strategy to inspect its path
Selected strategy12-quarter projection
Selected strategy
Projection
Complete economy · 20 NAICS sectorsSector impacts
Complete economy · 20 NAICS sectors
Who gains, who bears the cost?
Quarter-12 changes from a no-tariff baseline. Select a country and outcome; use search to find your industry.
| Sector | Trade exposure | Output change | Impact |
|---|
How to read this: directional sector estimates allocate tariff, retaliation, border, relief, diversification and investment channels using trade intensity, import reliance, job intensity and cyclicality. They are scenario comparisons—not forecasts or firm-level estimates.